Peak Atlantic Hurricane Season is Coming, Officials Double Down on Above-Average Forecast
- dgenovese5
- Sep 2, 2025
- 2 min read
As previously reported, officials expected an above-average, BUSY Atlantic hurricane season, and although the percentages shifted a tiny bit, they’re still doubling down on that forecast. New Jersey's tropical storm activity (as well as other northeastern coastal states) has historically been between August and late October.
The peak of the season is nearly upon us.
ABC News, citing the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), stated the following:
“There is now a 50% chance of an above-normal season, a 35% chance of a near-normal season and a 15% chance of a below-normal season, according to the updated assessment, which was released on Thursday. In May, the agency forecast a 60% chance of above-normal activity.”
“For the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season, NOAA is forecasting 13 to 18 total named storms with winds of 39 mph or greater -- with five to nine of those storms predicted to become hurricanes with winds of 74 mph or greater.”
“Two to five of those named storms are expected to become major hurricanes between Categories 3 and 5 and winds of 111 mph or higher, according to NOAA.”
So far, there have been 6 named storms to include Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dexter, Erin, and Fernand. Erin was the first official hurricane of the season, and we felt her wrath in our area in the form of tidal flooding, dangerous rip currents, beach erosion, etc., even though she never made landfall and stayed several hundred miles offshore.
How does this affect us? Well, storms like Irene in 2011, Sandy in 2012, and even Ida in 2021 made their way to us in impactful ways, and it appears we’ve seen an alarming uptick in tornadic activity in recent years. These, among other catastrophic weather events, invite fraud whether it be in the form of inflated, fraudulent claims by homeowners, or fraudulent contractors looking to capitalize on homeowners’ grief, vulnerability, and urgency to get their homes and lives back together, by taking deposits with no intention on completing the work, incomplete jobs, shoddy workmanship, etc.
As always, we are always ready and on standby for your investigative needs.
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